PV 2017: strong stronger
The release of this set of data, led to the community for China as a photovoltaic power of hot and concern. 2016, China's PV market has shown a rapid development trend, "Qiangsu" word once again become the focus. In the China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued the "China PV industry development road map", according to the actual development of photovoltaic industry in 2016, the future of the "thirteen" and 2025 time node development goals were judged. "Roadmap" pointed out that in 2017, the ordinary photovoltaic installed capacity of 12.6 gigawatts, leading technology base installed capacity of 5.5 GW, PV Poverty Capacity of 4.8 GW, additional indicators of more than 10 GW of these data Driven by the expected domestic installed capacity will be more than 20 GW, or even reach 30 GW.
The "road map" covers all the key indicators of the PV industry chain, involving polysilicon, silicon rods, silicon ingots, silicon wafers, batteries, components, balance parts, systems and other aspects of the key indicators. "Road map" in the process of collecting a wide range of nearly 100 photovoltaic enterprises, research institutions and various views, after several rounds of discussion and demonstration, on this basis, according to the actual development of the industry, predicted 2017,2018,2020,2022 And 2025 development goals, reflecting the industry, technology and market trends, reflecting the current stage of experts and scholars and entrepreneurs on the future development of photovoltaic industry consensus, the development of the industry has a certain guiding significance.
February 18, the National Energy Board issued "on the issuance of 2017 energy work guidance notice", called for greater efforts to promote the popularization of photovoltaic solar energy to promote industrial development. The notice clearly pointed out that in 2017, will vigorously develop solar energy, continue to implement the "leader" action of photovoltaic power generation, give full play to the role of market mechanisms to promote the continuous decline in power generation costs. Adjust the layout of the development of photovoltaic power plants, and strictly control the emerging areas of serious areas of abandoned light, the rate of more than 5% of the provinces to suspend the arrangement of new photovoltaic power generation scale. Steady progress of the first demonstration project of solar thermal power generation.
The notice also stressed that efforts to improve the well-being of energy and people's livelihood, the precise implementation of photovoltaic poverty alleviation projects. Summed up the first batch of photovoltaic poverty alleviation project experience, organize the implementation of the second batch of photovoltaic poverty alleviation project. To further optimize the layout of photovoltaic poverty alleviation projects, give priority to support the construction of village-level poverty alleviation power stations, for the capital and power grid access conditions of village-level power plants, installed capacity is not restricted. Strengthen the grid consumption, cost settlement and other co-ordination work to ensure that the project construction and operation in place. This year plans to plan the scale of photovoltaic poverty alleviation 8 million kilowatts, benefiting 64 million construction of poor households. Among them, the village power station 2 million kilowatts, benefiting 40 million construction of legislation poor households; centralized power plant 6 million kilowatts, benefiting 240,000 established legislation poor households.
National Energy Board official said, in the "second Five-Year" period, the PV industry's most important task is to expand the scale, "thirteen" will be to promote technological progress, cost reduction, expansion of diversified development and cost reduction as the theme , The future will further focus on the role of national and local subsidies to carry out the work of the full implementation of the competitive way to configure the photovoltaic power plant project to promote the cost of continuous reduction.
Industry sources said that for 2017 new installed capacity of 20 GW forecast is actually very conservative. The first half of 2016, in the "6 ˙ 30" under the influence of the tide, the photovoltaic industry has shown a large-scale accelerated development, installed capacity by leaps and bounds. And in the second half of 2016, especially in September 2016, the PV industry has experienced a rapid decline, return to normal levels.
In the future, with the continued increase in renewable energy investment, solar energy and other low-carbon clean energy has become the theme of incremental energy supply, will also further promote the upgrading of photovoltaic power generation industry, reduce costs and expand applications.
Energy Internet researchers said that in the face of increasingly severe climate and environmental problems, take the road of clean development, vigorously develop renewable energy has become an inevitable choice to petrochemical energy as the main energy structure, has also become harsh and other harsh environmental problems The main reason. The increase in the total installed capacity of new energy in China shows the determination of the state to regulate the energy structure.
It is understood that, in order to promote the industry to reduce costs faster, 2016 8-star leader of the base of the use of a competitive bidding model, the average cost of each project than the local PV benchmark price of 0.2 yuan / kWh. In this way, even if the establishment of the relevant standards to protect local enterprises, in the overall model, large enterprises are still relatively more competitive advantage, some small enterprises in the past to use the policy of opacity or local government relations to compete for indicators, Bidding mode, the operating space will be smaller and smaller. More importantly, in the PV "leader" plan full flowering at the same time, clear technical indicators of the industry continued to promote technological progress has an important role in driving and also because of this, photovoltaic "leader" project in the enterprise Choice, but also focus on more competitive enterprises. Industry experts pointed out: "From China's current implementation of the two batches of photovoltaic leader project point of view, are mainly large enterprises won the bid, such as Jingke, Xie Xin, China Huadian and other large enterprises, their successful bid size of 320 megawatts ~ 400 MW between the advantages of these enterprises can be through technological progress and lower costs to reduce the price of electricity on the Internet to achieve parity, such as Xixiang in Shanxi Yangquan PV base bid reported the lowest price of 0.61 yuan / kWh. So in terms of the PV industry as a whole, the PV "leader" program will cultivate a number of large enterprises to become the industry benchmark, in order to promote other enterprises within the industry to improve product quality and conversion efficiency, so as to promote the industry's healthy competition and development "Also because of this, the photovoltaic industry in 2017 will be stronger for a stronger year.
But at the same time, the fear of subsidies has not diminished, in 2016, China's new energy subsidies funding gap has been from the end of 2015 to 40 billion yuan to 60 billion yuan, some have joined the subsidy directory of photovoltaic power plant project can not take To the subsidy, increased the difficulty of the power station to repay the loan. More seriously, the industry is worried that the gap will be further widened in 2017 PV subsidies.
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