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The dispute over the route of new energy vehicles, the cost of using vehicles should be the first element

 

In fact, there is no such thing as the title of the new energy vehicle development route. Whether it is policy or resource ratio, the pure electric route has become the mainstream in the current market. However, in the spirit of rationality and clarification, the principle of Dao Yue is clearer, the mainstream does not mean that it is the most appropriate. Here, we will discuss with you the new energy route which is the most suitable in the current car environment. of.

From the point of view of the mountain, for the pure electric vehicles that are currently being sold in the market, whether it is domestic or imported models, car novels are not considered to be the most suitable choice. Mainly based on the unfriendly use of the environment. In other words, the time cost of using a car is too high.

In real life, pure electric car owners have too many spit in the process of using the car. Here is not a case. It should be emphasized that although there are many problems in the fuel vehicle model, it is not the same as the problem in the current pure electric vehicle. In an inappropriate case, the problem of pure electric vehicles is a question of how to survive, and fuel vehicles are a better problem. The two are not in a discussion dimension.

For pure electric vehicles, one of the biggest problems is mileage anxiety. Even Weilai’s nanny and tram service is no different to solve this problem. Unless you can really do the same with power, you can exercise 500km in just 3 minutes. Otherwise, any plan or speech is in front of you.

The hard-burning time of pure electric vehicles is too long. At least for the time being, there is still no hope of a complete solution in the short term. But it does not mean that there is no feasible solution in the new energy vehicle.

In addition to hybrid electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell models are a typical example. These two kinds of car novels are considered to be the most suitable solutions among various new energy models. Whether it is a hybrid or a hydrogen fuel cell model, the time cost of use is almost the same as that of a fuel vehicle. This is also the biggest difference with pure electric vehicles.

In fact, no matter what kind of route, after all, it is for the market (consumer). For consumers, in addition to the price of the car, the ease of use of this product is also an important consideration. Taking the existing pure electric vehicle as an example, in addition to the expensive purchase cost, it is unacceptable to spend a lot of time cost per power-on (without considering that the public charging pile sometimes needs to be queued).

Even as a daily use in the city, it is not the most suitable choice for car novels. Why spend a lot of money to buy a travel tool that can only walk around the home (unit)? Even the owner of a pure electric car has ridiculed himself that it is not a car that he bought, but an ancestor. It can be seen that the pure electric vehicle is not reliable in the current use environment.

It is understood that most of the owners who choose pure electric vehicles in this part are considered for reasons of policy orientation (such as licenses). Choosing a pure electric vehicle is not entirely market-driven.

If the corresponding support policy for pure electric vehicles is also applicable to hybrid electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel cell models, the choice of consumers will explain everything.

Looking back, since it is so good, why is the hydrogen fuel cell vehicle not yet developed?

To commercialize a market (marketization), in addition to the need to be close to market demand, a more important consideration is economic costs.

Obviously, one of the main obstacles in the popularization of hydrogen fuel cell models is the cost. As for the technical level, it can be seen from the fact that Toyota Mirai has started mass production and sales five years ago, and there are no major problems. Going back to cost, this involves the question of whether there is a chicken or an egg first.

For the industry, in the absence of policy subsidy support, it is obviously somewhat powerless to rely solely on enterprises to promote. However, for the relevant departments, it is not likely to issue policies for a single company before seeing the whole industry generally involved (or trend). However, the positive side is that some local governments have begun to take action.

 

According to reports, according to the "Opinions on Vigorously Supporting the Development of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Industry" issued by the Lu'an Municipal Government of Anhui Province this year, Lu'an will conduct hydrogen refueling stations in order to guide social capital to participate in the construction and operation of hydrogen infrastructure. Financial assistance. The specific measures are as follows: for a 35 MPa hydrogen refueling station with a hydrogenation capacity of 1000 kg/d or a 70 MPa hydrogen refueling station with a hydrogenation capacity of 400 kg/d, 30% of the amount of equipment invested by the hydrogen refueling station shall be no more than 4 million yuan.

In addition, at the enterprise level, attention has also been paid to the development of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

Among them, the most concerned about the outside world is Audi CEO Bram Schot recently publicly stated that Audi will strengthen the development of hydrogen fuel cell technology and plans to restart the h-tron model. It is reported that Audi's sixth-generation hydrogen fuel cell prototype will be announced later this year, and the production model will wait until 2021 at the earliest, or will be the first to market with rental models. It should be noted that the Volkswagen Group's new energy vehicle strategy is to develop pure electric vehicles. Therefore, from this background, behind the “violating” group strategy of Audi, it does not rule out the possibility that the Volkswagen Group will adjust or follow the development route of new energy vehicles.

 

In fact, in addition to Toyota and the above-mentioned Audi, the companies that own or are developing hydrogen fuel cell models include GM, Hyundai, SAIC, and Foton.

At the just-concluded Shanghai International Auto Show, a number of car companies exhibited their hydrogen fuel cell models. For example, the Toyota booth showed the Mirai real car; Zotye exhibited the E200 FCV at its booth; Han Teng also built the Han Teng FCV based on its X7 model; SAIC Motor released a SAIC Chase MAXUS G20FC (hydrogen fuel cell) at the auto show car). Dongfeng Fengshen showed the AX7 with a hydrogen fuel cell version; Hyundai Motor showed its hydrogen fuel cell vehicle NEXO. Even the red flag brings an H5 FCEV.

 Compared with pure electric vehicles, there is still a big gap in the treatment of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in terms of the number of exhibitors or the mainstream models. However, from the perspective of production and sales data, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are on the rise.

According to the sales and sales data of the China Automobile Association, in March 2019, the production and sales of fuel cell vehicles were completed 86 units, a 42-fold increase over the same period of the previous year. In the first quarter of 2019, the cumulative sales of fuel cells was 273, an increase of 135.5 times over the same period of the previous year.

According to statistics, as of now, there are 14 hydrogen refueling stations in operation in China, and 23 are under construction. It is estimated that by 2020, 100 hydrogen refueling stations will be built and put into use. Distributed in Beijing, Shanghai, Zhengzhou, Dalian, Zhongshan, Foshan, Yunfu, Rugao, Changzhou, Shiyan, Chengdu and other cities. The number of supporting facilities is obviously far from enough for the popularity of hydrogen fuel vehicles.

At present, more car companies are taking a step-by-step approach to the field of hydrogen fuel cell models. If the support for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles can be increased on the relevant policy side, the further improvement of R&D investment and market promotion of related enterprises will bring about leap-forward improvement.

Of course, no matter which route you choose, you have their own strengths and weaknesses. The same is true for hydrogen fuel cell models. However, under the premise of ensuring safety and related support policies, it is obviously a more pragmatic choice for users to use less time and cost, and the cruising range is equivalent to the hydrogen fuel cell model of fuel vehicles.

Although, according to relevant plans, the number of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will increase to 2 million vehicles will need to wait until 2030. Under the premise that the battery technology of pure electric vehicles has not made revolutionary progress, 2030 is still worth looking forward to.

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