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Mobile WebSiteIn recent years, the photovoltaic industry has been developing rapidly. According to the forecast of the photovoltaic power generation industry, it is expected that the distributed installation will continue to grow. It is expected that the distributed photovoltaic installation in 2018 is expected to continue high growth. How about the specific photovoltaic market conditions?
In recent years, the state has repeatedly issued relevant expenditure policies to promote the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry, which has greatly promoted the development of China's photovoltaic industry. Forward-looking industry research institute data show that the cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in China has increased from 0.86 GW in 2010 to 77.42 GW in 2016, and the new installed capacity in 2016 was 34.54 GW. The cumulative installed capacity and installed annual installed capacity ranked first in the world. Become the world's largest installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation.
Since the benchmark price was lowered again after 630 this year, the first-half grab-to-load reached 24.4GW, a year-on-year increase of 9%, which is expected to exceed the market's expectations, including 7.11GW for distributed PV installations, which was 2.9 times year-on-year. According to the “Forecast and Investment Analysis Report on Photovoltaic Power Generation Industry Market” released by the Industry Research Institute of Qianwang, the newly installed capacity of domestic photovoltaics has exceeded 43 GW by the end of the third quarter of 2017. It is expected that the annual installed capacity of photovoltaics will reach a new height of 50 GW.
In addition, according to statistics, 15GW of installed photovoltaic capacity in the first three quarters of 2017 accounted for 36%. It is estimated that distributed installations in the whole year are expected to reach 20GW, accounting for 40% of the total, of which roof distribution (commercial + residential) is expected to account for 12 to 15GW, a year-on-year growth rate of 400% to 500%. In the context of distributed and near-parity of commercial and commercial prices, residents' distributed and near parity, in particular, the distribution of rooftops continues to be unlimited, and it is expected that distributed photovoltaic installations in 2018 are expected to continue high growth.
Distributed photovoltaic new installation and growth
According to the 100% growth rate of the year-on-year calculation, the distributed installation of rooftops in 2018 is expected to reach 24 to 30 GW. Combined with centralized power stations, the domestic installed capacity in 2018 is expected to reach 50 to 56 GW, and the demand is still guaranteed.
In the “13th Five-Year Plan for Solar Energy Development”, other modes of application such as distributed photovoltaic, distributed PV for poverty alleviation, photovoltaic agriculture, photovoltaic fisheries, and building photovoltaic will be used as key tasks for development and construction. Among them, distributed photovoltaics will be the primary development target and occupy an important position in the future energy structure.
According to the “13th Five-Year Plan for Energy Development,” by the end of 2020, China’s solar power generation capacity will reach 110GW or more, of which distributed photovoltaics will account for 60GW. To achieve the 2020 target, distributed photovoltaics will complete at least 12 GW of installation per year from 2017 to 2020. In order to encourage the development of distributed photovoltaics, a series of supporting policies have been issued successively from the central government to local governments to achieve national development plans.
It is worth mentioning that in the first three quarters of 2017, the demand for photovoltaics was still high due to the launch of pioneers, distribution, and overseas markets, and the prices of products were firm. In the fourth quarter, it entered the traditional peak season, and the annual installed capacity of photovoltaics is expected to be more than 45GW. More than expected. In addition, the ground power station indicators will be issued from 2017 to 2020, which will be approximately 22 GW per year. In addition, distributed photovoltaics with an unlimited number of indicators will be included. It is expected that the number of distributed photovoltaics will reach 50 GW in 2018, and the proportion of distributed and single crystals will continue to increase.
The Prospective and Investment Analysis Report on Photovoltaic Power Generation Industry Market issued by the Industry Research Institute of Forward-looking Industries elaborated the overall development of the photovoltaic power generation market from a variety of perspectives including market overview, industrialization progress, regional development, policy analysis, and key enterprises. Based on this analysis, the investment potential of photovoltaic power generation projects is analyzed. More questions, you can click on the online consultation and researcher to achieve one-on-one communication.
